← Curio Grand Archive DTR Store Championship
Fire ArcaneTier 1
at Curio Grand Archive DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.1%
avg ELO -1.7 per match
expected value
53.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1388
· median 1388
· range 1388–1388
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1006
Q1 1252
Q3 1449
1511
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Astra Ranger | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.9% | +4.6 |
| Water Genbu | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.9 |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.3% | -18.8 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
