← Curio Grand Archive DTR Store Championship
Water Tera MageTier 1
at Curio Grand Archive DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-2-1
overall winrate
64.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
67.8%
avg ELO +8.9 per match
expected value
54.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1349
· median 1349
· range 1349–1349
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1006
Q1 1252
Q3 1449
1511
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Astra Ranger | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.0% | +19.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.1% | +19.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 50.4% | +0.4 |
| Wind Slimes | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
