← Curio Grand Archive DTR Store Championship
Water Astra RangerTier 2
at Curio Grand Archive DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-5-0
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
36.9%
avg ELO -7.0 per match
expected value
42.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1261
· median 1261
· range 1141–1381
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1006
Q1 1252
Q3 1449
1511
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Umbra Guardian | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.0% | -17.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.8% | -6.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.5% | +21.6 |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.1 |
