EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 貓腳印東門店DTR店家冠軍賽.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 4.9% | 15 | 70.0% | 63.8% | 53.6% | 52.9% | 1314 | — |
| 2 | Wind Luxem Zander | 2 | 4.9% | 12 | 66.7% | 51.4% | 53.2% | 49.5% | 1472 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 3 | 7.3% | 17 | 61.8% | 52.1% | 52.5% | 49.4% | 1447 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 2.4% | 7 | 64.3% | 60.5% | 52.5% | 52.6% | 1401 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 4 | 9.8% | 20 | 57.5% | 61.9% | 52.2% | 54.1% | 1299 | — |
| 6 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 7.3% | 19 | 57.9% | 61.1% | 52.1% | 53.2% | 1368 | — |
| 7 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 2.4% | 6 | 50.0% | 48.5% | 51.2% | 50.9% | 1405 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Water Allies | 2 | 4.9% | 13 | 61.5% | 46.0% | 50.6% | 47.1% | 1395 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 2.4% | 6 | 50.0% | 49.4% | 50.4% | 50.3% | 1491 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Wind Seiryuu | 3 | 7.3% | 14 | 46.4% | 42.1% | 50.0% | 48.1% | 1286 | — |
| 11 | Fire Exia | 1 | 2.4% | 6 | 50.0% | 46.5% | 49.4% | 48.2% | 1389 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Water Genbu | 3 | 7.3% | 18 | 52.8% | 50.0% | 49.4% | 48.6% | 1362 | — |
| 13 | Wind Allies | 2 | 4.9% | 8 | 56.2% | 51.2% | 49.3% | 48.1% | 1336 | — |
| 14 | Fire Suzaku | 3 | 7.3% | 15 | 46.7% | 59.9% | 48.8% | 53.0% | 1234 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Fire Crux Merlin | 1 | 2.4% | 6 | 41.7% | 34.1% | 47.9% | 43.7% | 1419 | ↑ top |
| 16 | Water Tera Cleric | 2 | 4.9% | 11 | 27.3% | 46.0% | 45.8% | 49.4% | 1180 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 4.9% | 10 | 40.0% | 47.0% | 45.0% | 46.4% | 1379 | — |
| 18 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 4.9% | 11 | 31.8% | 39.0% | 44.4% | 45.9% | 1204 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 2.4% | 6 | 8.3% | 27.9% | 42.3% | 43.2% | 1076 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Fire Neos | 1 | 2.4% | 4 | 25.0% | 41.5% | 42.2% | 44.2% | 1237 | ↓ low |
| 21 | Fire Rile | 1 | 2.4% | 2 | 0.0% | 37.8% | 40.0% | 42.5% | 1191 | ↓ low |
| 22 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 2.4% | 1 | 0.0% | 38.3% | 40.0% | 38.3% | 1302 | — |
| 23 | Slimes | 1 | 2.4% | 3 | 0.0% | 39.4% | 36.0% | 42.9% | 1257 | ↓ low |