← Grand Archive Store Championship Distorted Reflections
Fire SlimesTier 1
at Grand Archive Store Championship Distorted Reflections
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
4-0-1
overall winrate
90.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
68.1%
avg ELO +10.4 per match
expected value
61.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
59.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1359
· median 1359
· range 1359–1359
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1035
Q1 1164
Q3 1367
1597
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 16.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.9% | +13.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +17.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Water Allies | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 5.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Slimes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
