Water GenbuTier 1
at ストアチャンピオンシップ in HASUYA
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.1%
avg ELO +7.5 per match
expected value
50.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1316
· median 1316
· range 1316–1316
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1047
Q1 1243
Q3 1413
1597
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 25.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 18.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 44.1% | -5.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.8% | +16.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
