← Yeti Webcam Weekly 11/6/2025

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Webcam Weekly 11/6/2025. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Water Aetherwing 2 6.9% 8 81.2% 51.3% 58.7% 50.5% 1364
2 Water Jin 1 3.4% 4 75.0% 51.4% 57.1% 50.7% 1197 ↓ low
3 Wind Shadowstrike 1 3.4% 3 66.7% 50.0% 56.0% 50.0% 1463 ↑ top
4 Wind Byakko 1 3.4% 4 75.0% 50.3% 55.0% 50.0% 1444 ↑ top
5 Fire Tera Diao Chan 1 3.4% 4 50.0% 49.7% 54.3% 50.4% 1328
6 Fire Crux Mage 4 13.8% 10 60.0% 50.6% 53.3% 50.2% 1336
7 Fire Suzaku 1 3.4% 4 50.0% 49.7% 51.7% 49.7% 1206 ↓ low
8 Wind Seiryuu 6 20.7% 15 50.0% 50.3% 50.4% 50.1% 1369 ↑ top
9 Water Astra Ranger 1 3.4% 4 50.0% 50.1% 49.2% 50.0% 1381 ↑ top
10 Wind Astra Cleric 1 3.4% 2 25.0% 48.8% 48.6% 49.6% 1388 ↑ top
11 Wind Razorgale 4 13.8% 11 40.9% 50.1% 45.8% 50.0% 1318
12 Water Umbra Guardian 1 3.4% 3 16.7% 49.0% 45.5% 49.6% 1209 ↓ low
13 Fire Astra Cleric 1 3.4% 4 37.5% 50.1% 45.0% 49.8% 1083 ↓ low
14 Water Tera Mage 1 3.4% 2 50.0% 50.9% 45.0% 50.3% 1144 ↓ low
15 Fire Umbra Guardian 2 6.9% 6 16.7% 47.8% 40.7% 49.1% 1286
16 Water Fractal 1 3.4% 2 0.0% 48.1% 40.0% 48.9% 1094 ↓ low