← Distorted Reflections Store Championship by Metagame Thailand
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Distorted Reflections Store Championship by Metagame Thailand.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Fractal | 1 | 6.2% | 6 | 75.0% | 60.3% | 58.3% | 55.7% | 1377 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 12.5% | 10 | 70.0% | 59.1% | 57.5% | 55.9% | 1327 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.5% | 51.6% | 1312 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 53.0% | 51.7% | 53.1% | 1207 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Allies | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.8% | 51.1% | 50.8% | 1290 | — |
| 6 | Slimes | 2 | 12.5% | 10 | 50.0% | 52.9% | 50.3% | 51.1% | 1215 | — |
| 7 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 6.2% | 1 | 50.0% | 49.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | 1253 | — |
| 8 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 18.8% | 11 | 50.0% | 47.5% | 49.7% | 48.9% | 1276 | — |
| 9 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 47.8% | 46.7% | 46.6% | 1293 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Fire Crux Merlin | 2 | 12.5% | 8 | 18.8% | 37.9% | 42.0% | 44.4% | 1116 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 0.0% | 30.6% | 40.0% | 42.1% | 1124 | ↓ low |