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Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at Grand Canyon DTR Store Championsip
decks
3
(9.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
6-8-1
overall winrate
43.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.9%
avg ELO -1.7 per match
expected value
48.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1291
· median 1261
· range 1222–1389
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1223
Q3 1374
1730
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 12.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 40.8% | -6.9 |
| Water Genbu | 9.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.4% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.3% | -4.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.3% | -15.1 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.6% | +18.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
