← Revelfest Month-ender for November
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at Revelfest Month-ender for November
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
3-1-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.4%
avg ELO +0.9 per match
expected value
57.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1400
· median 1400
· range 1400–1400
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1132
Q1 1181
Q3 1332
1407
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 33.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 50.6% | +0.4 |
| Fire Byakko | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.4% | +2.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
