← Revelfest Month-ender for November
Wind ArcaneTier 2
at Revelfest Month-ender for November
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-5-0
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.6%
avg ELO -1.8 per match
expected value
42.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1175
· median 1175
· range 1175–1175
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1132
Q1 1181
Q3 1332
1407
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 33.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.3% | -2.8 |
| Fire Byakko | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.4% | -2.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.4% | -2.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.4% | -2.6 |
| Water Fractal | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.2% | -2.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.7% | +2.7 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
