← Revelfest Month-ender for November
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Revelfest Month-ender for November
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Byakko | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.4% | -0.4 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Fractal | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +1.9 |
| Wind Arcane | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.7% | +2.8 |
| Wind Lorraine | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.0% | -3.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 51.5% | +1.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.7% | +2.7 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 25 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regal Inquisition | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Shadowstrike | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Dungeon Guide | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Scout the Land | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Noble Dissolution | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |