Revelfest Month-ender for November

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	4	33.3%	9-3-0	75.0%	51.1%	56.6%	50.4%	1293	↑ top
2		Fire Byakko	Tier 2	1	8.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.6%	45.7%	50.1%	1175	↓ low
3		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	8.3%	3-1-0	75.0%	51.4%	57.7%	50.7%	1400	↑ top
4		Fire Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	8.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.6%	45.7%	50.1%	1175	↓ low
5		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	8.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.6%	45.7%	50.1%	1175	↓ low
6		Water Fractal	Tier 1	1	8.3%	4-2-0	66.7%	52.6%	53.3%	50.9%	1193	↓ low
7		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	8.3%	1-3-0	25.0%	48.2%	42.9%	49.1%	1241	—
8		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	8.3%	1-5-0	16.7%	46.6%	42.2%	48.7%	1175	↓ low
9		Wind Lorraine	Tier 1	1	8.3%	3-1-0	75.0%	52.0%	57.1%	51.3%	1324	↑ top
10		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	8.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	51.2%	42.2%	49.6%	1229	—
11		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	8.3%	0-6-0	0.0%	45.4%	40.0%	48.4%	1132	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 33.3%
• Fire Byakko 1 deck · 8.3%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 8.3%
• Fire Seiryuu 1 deck · 8.3%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 8.3%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 8.3%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 8.3%