← Heretics Haven - Grand Archive Regionals - Phantom Monarch Season
Wind Astra ClericTier 2
at Heretics Haven - Grand Archive Regionals - Phantom Monarch Season
decks
3
(8.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
5-8-2
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.0%
avg ELO -1.6 per match
expected value
47.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1186
· median 1163
· range 1158–1237
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1075
Q1 1164
Q3 1338
1617
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 10.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.8% | -3.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 42.3% | -5.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.8% | +6.0 |
| Fire Neos | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 45.4% | -4.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Fire Suited | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.7 |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.3 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
