← Valhalla Hobby Phantom Monarch Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Valhalla Hobby Phantom Monarch Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Slimes | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 100.0% | 69.6% | 64.4% | 62.9% | 1340 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 48.4% | 55.0% | 50.5% | 1404 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Exia | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 53.2% | 53.3% | 51.5% | 1362 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Astra Ranger | 2 | 25.0% | 6 | 50.0% | 49.6% | 50.0% | 49.9% | 1284 | — |
| 5 | Water Umbra Ciel | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 47.2% | 46.7% | 48.7% | 1161 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 45.8% | 42.2% | 44.7% | 1218 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Umbra Ranger | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 36.3% | 40.0% | 44.0% | 1160 | ↓ low |