← Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
Horse and TaxesTier 1
at Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
decks
1
(4.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
6-1-1
overall winrate
81.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.5%
avg ELO +3.6 per match
expected value
58.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1560
· median 1560
· range 1560–1560
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1001
Q1 1176
Q3 1412
1560
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arcane | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 8.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.6% | -7.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.3% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 57.5% | +5.6 |
| Water Allies | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.9% | +19.1 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Alice | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Horse and Taxes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
