Phantom Monarchs Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Arcane	Tier 2	2	8.3%	3-6-1	35.0%	45.0%	44.5%	46.6%	1211	↓ low
2		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	2	8.3%	4-6-0	40.0%	42.2%	47.3%	47.2%	1187	↓ low
3		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	2	8.3%	7-1-3	77.3%	58.0%	56.3%	51.3%	1447	↑ top
4		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	2	8.3%	7-5-1	57.7%	69.4%	54.9%	59.2%	1304	—
5		Water Allies	Tier 2	2	8.3%	5-5-1	50.0%	48.1%	49.5%	48.8%	1319	—
6		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	2	8.3%	3-4-3	45.0%	46.7%	49.7%	49.6%	1351	—
7		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	4.2%	2-3-0	40.0%	54.3%	46.7%	50.1%	1031	↓ low
8		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	4.2%	3-3-0	50.0%	35.5%	52.2%	46.7%	1402	↑ top
9		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 1	1	4.2%	3-2-0	60.0%	46.4%	52.5%	48.9%	1451	↑ top
10		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	1	4.2%	5-2-0	71.4%	61.4%	53.3%	52.2%	1479	↑ top
11		Horse and Taxes	Tier 1	1	4.2%	6-1-1	81.2%	57.5%	58.3%	52.5%	1560	↑ top
12		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	4.2%	1-3-0	25.0%	45.0%	45.0%	48.0%	1105	↓ low
13		Water Crux Assassin	Tier 2	1	4.2%	1-4-0	20.0%	41.2%	42.9%	46.2%	1006	↓ low
14		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	4.2%	1-3-0	25.0%	47.0%	44.0%	48.0%	1087	↓ low
15		Water Umbra Alice	Tier 2	1	4.2%	0-5-0	0.0%	33.8%	40.0%	44.2%	1001	↓ low
16		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	1	4.2%	2-1-2	60.0%	60.0%	52.2%	54.7%	1442	↑ top
17		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	1	4.2%	2-2-1	50.0%	46.6%	51.3%	49.5%	1388	↑ top
18		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	1	4.2%	3-2-1	58.3%	46.0%	51.4%	48.3%	1271	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Arcane 2 decks · 8.3%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 8.3%
• Fire Oblation 2 decks · 8.3%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 8.3%
• Water Allies 2 decks · 8.3%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 8.3%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 4.2%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 4.2%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 4.2%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 4.2%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 4.2%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 4.2%
• Water Crux Assassin 1 deck · 4.2%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 4.2%
• Water Umbra Alice 1 deck · 4.2%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 4.2%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 4.2%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 4.2%