← Highpoint Store Championships! - Phantom Monarchs
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Highpoint Store Championships! - Phantom Monarchs.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 100.0% | 72.8% | 60.0% | 57.9% | 1412 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 70.0% | 51.2% | 54.3% | 51.0% | 1424 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 8.7% | 8 | 75.0% | 54.8% | 54.0% | 50.8% | 1419 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Umbra Ciel | 2 | 8.7% | 10 | 65.0% | 54.6% | 54.0% | 51.5% | 1413 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Tera Tamer | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 60.0% | 60.1% | 53.3% | 55.3% | 1278 | — |
| 6 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 3 | 13.0% | 14 | 64.3% | 63.8% | 52.2% | 53.1% | 1300 | — |
| 7 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 60.0% | 44.2% | 50.0% | 45.7% | 1404 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Slimes | 2 | 8.7% | 10 | 40.0% | 47.2% | 49.2% | 50.5% | 1319 | — |
| 9 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 40.0% | 50.2% | 48.0% | 50.1% | 1143 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 60.0% | 51.7% | 47.5% | 46.3% | 1314 | — |
| 11 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 40.0% | 51.7% | 46.7% | 49.6% | 1248 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 4.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 56.0% | 46.7% | 49.6% | 1232 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 40.0% | 43.1% | 46.7% | 46.4% | 1316 | — |
| 14 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 40.0% | 33.6% | 45.7% | 41.1% | 1384 | ↑ top |
| 15 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 4.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 41.8% | 44.0% | 45.8% | 1222 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 4.3% | 4 | 0.0% | 30.6% | 40.0% | 42.8% | 1268 | — |
| 17 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 4.3% | 4 | 0.0% | 37.6% | 40.0% | 44.8% | 1032 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Wind Exia | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 0.0% | 34.8% | 40.0% | 45.1% | 1088 | ↓ low |