Fire AetherwingTier 2
at 松江貓PTM店冠賽
decks
1
(3.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-5-0
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
36.1%
avg ELO -7.4 per match
expected value
45.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1121
· median 1121
· range 1121–1121
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1121
Q1 1231
Q3 1319
1482
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Wind Byakko | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.8 |
| Wind Arcane | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.8% | -6.7 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.1 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
