Wind ByakkoTier 1
at 松江貓PTM店冠賽
decks
2
(6.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
6-4-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.7%
avg ELO -3.7 per match
expected value
50.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1409
· median 1409
· range 1379–1438
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1121
Q1 1231
Q3 1319
1482
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.0% | -17.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 55.3% | +5.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.5% | -21.6 |
| Fire Exia | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.7% | +4.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.4% | -18.6 |
| Water Fractal | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.1 |
| Wind Arcane | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.5% | -24.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.8 |
