← Tabletop Village Store Championship PTM
Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at Tabletop Village Store Championship PTM
decks
3
(17.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
3-8-0
overall winrate
27.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.2%
avg ELO -3.0 per match
expected value
45.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1212
· median 1176
· range 1119–1343
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1086
Q1 1235
Q3 1367
1471
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.6% | -10.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.4% | -2.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -12.9 |
| Water Fractal | 5.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.1% | +5.9 |
| Water Genbu | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.4% | -4.1 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
