Tabletop Village Store Championship PTM

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	3	17.6%	3-8-0	27.3%	43.2%	45.3%	48.9%	1212	↓ low
2		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	2	11.8%	3-5-0	37.5%	53.6%	46.7%	49.7%	1200	↓ low
3		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	2	11.8%	4-3-2	55.6%	52.3%	49.3%	48.6%	1375	↑ top
4		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	2	11.8%	5-3-3	59.1%	54.6%	55.0%	52.7%	1301	—
5		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	1	5.9%	5-2-0	71.4%	60.7%	53.5%	52.2%	1331	—
6		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	1	5.9%	2-2-1	50.0%	44.6%	52.5%	50.0%	1436	↑ top
7		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	5.9%	1-3-0	25.0%	45.5%	46.0%	49.5%	1168	↓ low
8		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	1	5.9%	3-2-0	60.0%	64.7%	54.3%	56.1%	1298	—
9		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	5.9%	2-3-0	40.0%	37.4%	46.2%	43.4%	1327	—
10		Water Genbu	Tier 1	1	5.9%	3-3-1	50.0%	46.0%	52.1%	50.8%	1438	↑ top
11		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	1	5.9%	3-1-1	70.0%	43.2%	56.7%	48.9%	1471	↑ top
12		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 1	1	5.9%	3-2-0	60.0%	51.6%	51.4%	49.8%	1341	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Lorraine 3 decks · 17.6%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 11.8%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 11.8%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 11.8%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 5.9%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 5.9%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 5.9%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 5.9%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 5.9%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 5.9%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 5.9%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 5.9%