← Tabletop Village Store Championship PTM
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Tabletop Village Store Championship PTM
decks
2
(11.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
5-3-3
overall winrate
59.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.6%
avg ELO +2.0 per match
expected value
55.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1301
· median 1301
· range 1235–1367
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1086
Q1 1235
Q3 1367
1471
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 17.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.5% | +4.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 59.3% | +8.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.9% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.0% | -5.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Water Genbu | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.8% | +10.9 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.7 |
