← MY Hobby PTM Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at MY Hobby PTM Store Championship .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Aetherwing | 4 | 19.0% | 22 | 70.5% | 73.8% | 57.5% | 60.6% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Seiryuu | 3 | 14.3% | 15 | 60.0% | 47.5% | 52.5% | 47.2% | 1420 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Genbu | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 60.0% | 42.0% | 51.1% | 47.0% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Allies | 1 | 4.8% | 6 | 58.3% | 55.4% | 50.6% | 49.8% | 1335 | — |
| 5 | Water Fractal | 3 | 14.3% | 18 | 47.2% | 52.5% | 49.1% | 51.5% | 1274 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 40.0% | 39.1% | 48.3% | 45.6% | 1404 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 40.0% | 46.5% | 45.5% | 45.8% | 1291 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Suited | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 30.0% | 53.3% | 44.5% | 50.3% | 1139 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 9.5% | 9 | 38.9% | 38.0% | 44.4% | 42.5% | 1325 | — |
| 10 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 40.0% | 46.0% | 42.9% | 44.8% | 1278 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 9.5% | 7 | 21.4% | 26.4% | 41.3% | 39.1% | 1393 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Fire Umbra Ciel | 1 | 4.8% | 2 | 0.0% | 40.6% | 40.0% | 44.4% | 1154 | ↓ low |