← Shuffle Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
Fire ExiaTier 2
at Shuffle Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-1-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.9%
avg ELO +6.3 per match
expected value
48.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1224
· median 1224
· range 1224–1224
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1082
Q1 1210
Q3 1333
1425
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 29.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 60.8% | +10.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +4.5 |
| Water Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
