← Shuffle Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 1
at Shuffle Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-3-0
overall winrate
57.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.5%
avg ELO -1.8 per match
expected value
56.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1309
· median 1309
· range 1309–1309
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1082
Q1 1210
Q3 1333
1425
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 29.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.6% | +11.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.7 |
| Fire Exia | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
| Water Fractal | 5.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.8% | -4.9 |
| Wind Lorraine | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.5% | -21.6 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
