← Shuffle Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
Wind LorraineTier 1
at Shuffle Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-2-1
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.0%
avg ELO +6.9 per match
expected value
54.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1214
· median 1214
· range 1214–1214
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1082
Q1 1210
Q3 1333
1425
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 29.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 69.7% | +18.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | +2.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.1 |
| Fire Exia | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.5% | +21.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
