← Games Haven BBK PTM Store Championship
Fire AetherwingTier 2
at Games Haven BBK PTM Store Championship
decks
2
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-6-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.2%
avg ELO +1.4 per match
expected value
49.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1166
· median 1166
· range 1141–1190
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1047
Q1 1186
Q3 1401
1513
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 19.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 66.7% | +26.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 8.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.6% | +5.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.1% | -4.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.4 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Wind Allies | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.4 |
| Fire Neos | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.0% | +20.8 |
| Water Genbu | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Aetherwing decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
