← Games Haven BBK PTM Store Championship
Water AetherwingTier 2
at Games Haven BBK PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(2.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-1-2
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.0%
avg ELO +4.8 per match
expected value
54.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1409
· median 1409
· range 1409–1409
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1047
Q1 1186
Q3 1401
1513
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 19.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -4.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.2% | +11.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 50.6% | +0.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
