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Water AetherwingTier 2

at Games Haven BBK PTM Store Championship

decks
1 (2.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 3-1-2
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.0% avg ELO +4.8 per match
expected value
54.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1409 · median 1409 · range 1409–1409 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1047 Q1 1186 Q3 1401 1513
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Seiryuu 19.4% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 46.9% -4.9
Fire Aggro 11.1% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 11.1% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 62.2% +11.7
Wind Wakeup Combo 8.3% 0
Fire Aetherwing 5.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.8% +9.3
Fire Firebloom Burn 5.6% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.6% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 50.6% +0.5
Fire Umbra Guardian 5.6% 0
Wind Allies 5.6% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 2.8% 0
Fire Neos 2.8% 0
Fire Suzaku 2.8% 0
Water Astra Ranger 2.8% 0
Water Fractal 2.8% 0
Water Genbu 2.8% 0
Wind Arcane 2.8% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/42039/archetypes/Water Aetherwing