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Wind SeiryuuTier 1
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 64.5% | +10.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 47.9% | -1.3 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 8.3% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 64.6% | +10.9 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.3% | +19.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 4 | 1-1-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.6% | +2.3 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 45.0% | -3.7 |
| Wind Allies | 5.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.8% | +2.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Fire Neos | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.1% | +5.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.1% | +4.9 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.8% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 52.7% | +2.0 |
| Wind Arcane | 2.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 24.4% | -24.6 |
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Longtail Grovesward, Nullifying Lantern. Losers more often ran: Resolute Stand, Veiling Breeze, Stifling Trap.
Show all 37 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 30 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Forest Cake | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Spellward Scepter | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Stolen Chance | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Winds of Destiny | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Royal Oathguard | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Stifling Trap | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Enfeebling Orb | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Sunblessed Gazelle | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Harness Lightning | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Blinding Lapse | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Baby Green Slime | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Reclaim | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ducal Seal | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lightweaver's Assault | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Peer Beyond | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Displace | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |