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Fire Crux MageTier 2

at Pokebox USA Store Championships PTM

decks
2 (8.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9 2-6-1
overall winrate
27.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.1% avg ELO -3.2 per match
expected value
44.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1401 · median 1401 · range 1345–1458 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1102 Q1 1250 Q3 1461 1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Astra Cleric 13.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.7% -5.2
Fire Oblation 8.7% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.8% -1.8
Fire Suzaku 8.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.9% -6.6
Water Aetherwing 8.7% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.3% -0.7
Wind Luxem Zander 8.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.4% -12.2
Wind Seiryuu 8.7% 0
Fire Aetherwing 4.3% 0
Fire Aggro 4.3% 0
Fire Byakko 4.3% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 4.3% 0
Water Crux Assassin 4.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.0% -9.7
Water Crux Mage 4.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.5% -5.5
Wind Exia 4.3% 0
Wind Lorraine 4.3% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 4.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.6% +13.8
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/42160/archetypes/Fire Crux Mage