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Wind Luxem ZanderTier 1

at Pokebox USA Store Championships PTM

decks
2 (8.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9 7-2-0
overall winrate
77.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.3% avg ELO +5.2 per match
expected value
56.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1486 · median 1486 · range 1335–1638 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1102 Q1 1250 Q3 1461 1736
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Astra Cleric 13.0% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 67.5% +13.1
Fire Crux Mage 8.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.6% +12.2
Fire Oblation 8.7% 0
Fire Suzaku 8.7% 0
Water Aetherwing 8.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 36.3% -22.0
Wind Seiryuu 8.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.0% -16.0
Fire Aetherwing 4.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.0% +1.6
Fire Aggro 4.3% 0
Fire Byakko 4.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.6% +12.2
Fire Crux Lorraine 4.3% 0
Water Crux Assassin 4.3% 0
Water Crux Mage 4.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 62.3% +19.7
Wind Exia 4.3% 0
Wind Lorraine 4.3% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 4.3% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Luxem Zander decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 5 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 5 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cleansing Reunion -1.00 0 1 0
Escape the Wreckage +1.00 1 0 0
Beseech the Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Fluffy Shopkeep -1.00 0 1 0
Swift Recruit +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/42160/archetypes/Wind Luxem Zander