← Pokebox USA Store Championships PTM
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Pokebox USA Store Championships PTM
decks
2
(8.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
3-6-1
overall winrate
35.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.7%
avg ELO -2.4 per match
expected value
47.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1290
· median 1290
· range 1124–1457
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1102
Q1 1250
Q3 1461
1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Astra Cleric | 13.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.6 |
| Fire Oblation | 8.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.2 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.4% | -6.3 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Fire Byakko | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.2 |
| Wind Exia | 4.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Wind Lorraine | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.5% | -24.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
