Contrarian's Phantom Monarchs Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	3	21.4%	7-4-2	61.5%	50.1%	55.0%	51.4%	1421	↑ top
2		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	2	14.3%	2-2-2	50.0%	49.5%	47.2%	48.0%	1274	—
3		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	7.1%	5-0-1	91.7%	63.3%	64.0%	59.2%	1436	↑ top
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	7.1%	0-4-0	0.0%	30.9%	40.0%	42.4%	1088	↓ low
5		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	1	7.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	51.8%	46.7%	49.5%	1215	↓ low
6		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	7.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	58.6%	46.7%	51.4%	1176	↓ low
7		Water Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	7.1%	2-1-2	60.0%	55.1%	53.3%	52.6%	1438	↑ top
8		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	7.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	52.4%	46.7%	49.8%	1215	↓ low
9		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	7.1%	1-2-1	37.5%	48.6%	45.8%	48.8%	1134	↓ low
10		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	7.1%	0-4-0	0.0%	29.9%	40.0%	42.8%	1176	↓ low
11		Wind Chess	Tier 2	1	7.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	55.7%	46.7%	49.7%	1201	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 21.4%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 14.3%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 7.1%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 7.1%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 7.1%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 7.1%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 7.1%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 7.1%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 7.1%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 7.1%
• Wind Chess 1 deck · 7.1%