Wind Wakeup ComboTier 1
at Hobby Outpost PTM SC
decks
1
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.7%
avg ELO -3.6 per match
expected value
54.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1403
· median 1403
· range 1403–1403
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1148
Q1 1191
Q3 1350
1461
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.5 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.9% | -22.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.8% | -19.6 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Wakeup Combo decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
