EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 貓腳印三民店 Store Champion.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 7.1% | 7 | 85.7% | 78.1% | 59.2% | 61.4% | 1261 | — |
| 2 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 7.1% | 7 | 71.4% | 55.4% | 55.2% | 52.8% | 1408 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Oblation | 2 | 14.3% | 10 | 55.0% | 50.9% | 52.4% | 50.5% | 1319 | — |
| 4 | Water Allies | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 50.0% | 44.2% | 50.0% | 47.2% | 1352 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 14.3% | 10 | 45.0% | 54.3% | 49.6% | 53.3% | 1279 | — |
| 6 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 14.3% | 10 | 50.0% | 48.1% | 49.5% | 49.5% | 1303 | — |
| 7 | Water Fractal | 2 | 14.3% | 9 | 44.4% | 39.8% | 48.1% | 45.9% | 1346 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 40.3% | 44.0% | 44.8% | 1174 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 44.3% | 43.3% | 46.5% | 1116 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Exia Jin | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 12.5% | 36.6% | 43.3% | 45.3% | 1115 | ↓ low |