Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at PTM Store Champs
decks
1
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.6%
avg ELO -0.8 per match
expected value
48.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1341
· median 1341
· range 1341–1341
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
918
Q1 1187
Q3 1345
1599
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 13.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.6 |
| Fire Exia | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Zander | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Alice | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Wind Crux Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.7% | -21.2 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
