Wind AliceTier 2
at PTM Store Champs
decks
1
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-2-2
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.1%
avg ELO +0.6 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1181
· median 1181
· range 1181–1181
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
918
Q1 1187
Q3 1345
1599
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 13.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +2.0 |
| Fire Oblation | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.4% | -9.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Zander | 4.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.9% | +4.6 |
| Wind Arcane | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.2% | +3.6 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Alice decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
