← Hobby Lords PTM Store Championship
Fire OblationTier 2
at Hobby Lords PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.0%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
49.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1254
· median 1254
· range 1254–1254
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1118
Q1 1169
Q3 1335
1465
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 22.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 60.3% | +7.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.9 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Oblation decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
