← 0111 Phantom Monarchs Store Championships
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 0111 Phantom Monarchs Store Championships.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 70.0% | 44.3% | 59.1% | 46.9% | 1435 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 6.9% | 12 | 58.3% | 51.2% | 58.0% | 54.4% | 1416 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Seiryuu | 4 | 13.8% | 18 | 61.1% | 59.1% | 57.7% | 55.3% | 1378 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 70.0% | 52.9% | 54.0% | 51.2% | 1535 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Fractal | 2 | 6.9% | 12 | 66.7% | 52.4% | 53.0% | 46.2% | 1351 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Arcane | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 60.0% | 51.3% | 51.7% | 49.3% | 1284 | — |
| 7 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 50.0% | 62.6% | 50.0% | 54.5% | 1135 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 40.0% | 33.6% | 49.0% | 41.6% | 1331 | — |
| 9 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 3.4% | 6 | 66.7% | 60.9% | 48.8% | 50.0% | 1267 | — |
| 10 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 3.4% | 6 | 58.3% | 53.8% | 47.8% | 48.1% | 1220 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Shadowstrike | 7 | 24.1% | 27 | 48.1% | 58.8% | 47.0% | 51.5% | 1238 | — |
| 12 | Fire Dawn of Ashes | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 30.0% | 29.6% | 46.0% | 42.6% | 1389 | ↑ top |
| 13 | Fire Neos | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 30.0% | 29.6% | 46.0% | 42.6% | 1389 | ↑ top |
| 14 | Fire Suited | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 50.0% | 45.3% | 45.8% | 44.8% | 1315 | — |
| 15 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 40.0% | 54.7% | 43.6% | 45.8% | 1095 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 3.4% | 6 | 33.3% | 47.0% | 43.2% | 45.0% | 1178 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 40.0% | 54.5% | 42.9% | 46.5% | 1170 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Slimes | 1 | 3.4% | 4 | 12.5% | 33.2% | 41.2% | 41.9% | 1176 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 0.0% | 34.5% | 40.0% | 44.0% | 1128 | ↓ low |