Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at AeXern Store Championship
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 13.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.0% | +4.8 |
| Fire Exia | 8.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
| Water Genbu | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 8.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Fire Suited | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Water Fractal | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +18.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.1% | -15.3 |
| Wind Nico | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.2% | -23.7 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Abnegation.
No cards correlated with losing.
Show all 26 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abnegation | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Calming Breeze | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Winbless Lookout | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Lost Providence | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Topsy Decree | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Spirelle, Schwartz Queen | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Umbra Sight | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Slice and Dice | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nocturne's Oblivion | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |