← Storm Gate PTM Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Storm Gate PTM Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 5.0% | 7 | 92.9% | 79.9% | 59.6% | 61.2% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 5.0% | 7 | 71.4% | 59.6% | 56.8% | 55.3% | 1399 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Genbu | 2 | 10.0% | 11 | 63.6% | 51.2% | 54.8% | 51.9% | 1507 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 10.0% | 9 | 55.6% | 40.1% | 53.5% | 48.8% | 1395 | — |
| 5 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 10.0% | 8 | 50.0% | 35.3% | 50.8% | 44.5% | 1488 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Fractal | 2 | 10.0% | 7 | 57.1% | 56.8% | 50.0% | 50.9% | 1310 | — |
| 7 | Wind Overlord | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 60.0% | 60.7% | 50.0% | 51.7% | 1301 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 40.0% | 47.5% | 48.6% | 50.3% | 1291 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 40.0% | 53.4% | 46.7% | 51.1% | 1350 | — |
| 10 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 5.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 53.3% | 46.7% | 52.8% | 1252 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Slimes | 1 | 5.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 57.4% | 46.7% | 56.6% | 1208 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 30.0% | 39.4% | 45.7% | 45.9% | 1335 | — |
| 13 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 37.2% | 44.0% | 44.7% | 1322 | — |
| 14 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 10.0% | 5 | 0.0% | 33.5% | 40.0% | 44.8% | 1216 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Wind Umbra Ranger | 1 | 5.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 40.8% | 40.0% | 45.0% | 1303 | ↓ low |