Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at 店冠賽
decks
3
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
3-11-0
overall winrate
21.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
36.9%
avg ELO -5.4 per match
expected value
42.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1334
· median 1314
· range 1261–1427
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1225
Q1 1298
Q3 1450
1591
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 13.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.4% | -14.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 13.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 57.7% | +5.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 45.2% | -4.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.3 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.5% | +4.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.1% | -19.0 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -16.0 |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
