← Skupi sve - Store Championship

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Skupi sve - Store Championship. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Crux Mage 1 8.3% 7 92.9% 73.6% 59.7% 58.4% 1334 ↑ top
2 Fire Exia 1 8.3% 6 66.7% 58.9% 55.3% 54.9% 1286 ↑ top
3 Wind Shadowstrike 1 8.3% 4 62.5% 58.2% 52.5% 53.3% 1215
4 Water Umbra Ciel 1 8.3% 5 60.0% 56.5% 52.0% 52.7% 1225
5 Wind Seiryuu 1 8.3% 4 50.0% 43.1% 52.0% 49.3% 1336 ↑ top
6 Wind Umbra Alice 1 8.3% 5 60.0% 56.3% 52.0% 52.3% 1264 ↑ top
7 Slimes 2 16.7% 8 50.0% 48.8% 50.0% 49.6% 1231
8 Water Fractal 1 8.3% 4 50.0% 51.2% 50.0% 50.7% 1198 ↓ low
9 Wind Byakko 1 8.3% 4 25.0% 39.0% 45.0% 45.6% 1223
10 Fire Astra Arisanna 1 8.3% 5 20.0% 25.5% 44.0% 41.2% 1144 ↓ low
11 Wind Allies 1 8.3% 4 12.5% 28.1% 42.0% 41.2% 1144 ↓ low
12 Wind Neos 1 8.3% 4 12.5% 28.1% 42.0% 41.2% 1144 ↓ low