← Honors Ground PTM Store Championship 2026
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Honors Ground PTM Store Championship 2026.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 75.0% | 61.0% | 57.8% | 58.1% | 1282 | — |
| 2 | Water Genbu | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 87.5% | 69.2% | 57.8% | 57.5% | 1241 | — |
| 3 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 80.0% | 58.5% | 56.0% | 53.0% | 1324 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Tera Mage | 2 | 10.5% | 8 | 68.8% | 63.8% | 55.5% | 55.9% | 1285 | — |
| 5 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 62.5% | 60.4% | 53.3% | 54.5% | 1224 | — |
| 6 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 10.5% | 7 | 50.0% | 48.8% | 52.4% | 51.0% | 1285 | — |
| 7 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 10.5% | 7 | 42.9% | 49.9% | 52.0% | 53.1% | 1232 | — |
| 8 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 10.5% | 8 | 50.0% | 49.5% | 51.8% | 51.6% | 1277 | — |
| 9 | Wind Allies | 1 | 5.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.3% | 51.4% | 51.2% | 1229 | — |
| 10 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 37.0% | 48.6% | 41.6% | 1200 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 45.5% | 48.0% | 46.3% | 1356 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Fire Aggro | 4 | 21.1% | 12 | 25.0% | 34.6% | 43.3% | 44.2% | 1218 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Suited | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 0.0% | 35.1% | 40.0% | 44.3% | 1107 | ↓ low |