Hobibear Gaming PTM Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	3	25.0%	7-5-3	56.7%	54.6%	49.9%	50.2%	1393	↑ top
2		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	2	16.7%	4-2-0	66.7%	55.8%	57.1%	54.1%	1278	↓ low
3		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	8.3%	0-3-1	12.5%	30.8%	44.3%	44.3%	1401	↑ top
4		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	8.3%	0-1-3	37.5%	46.5%	48.3%	50.0%	1193	↓ low
5		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	8.3%	3-1-1	70.0%	61.0%	51.3%	51.2%	1310	—
6		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	8.3%	1-3-0	25.0%	34.3%	42.1%	39.8%	1280	↓ low
7		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	8.3%	1-1-2	50.0%	57.2%	47.0%	52.0%	1291	—
8		Wind Chess	Tier 2	1	8.3%	1-3-0	25.0%	34.3%	42.1%	39.8%	1280	↓ low
9		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	8.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	54.3%	48.6%	50.5%	1298	—
10		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 1	1	8.3%	3-1-0	75.0%	61.9%	54.3%	54.8%	1403	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 25.0%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 16.7%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 8.3%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 8.3%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Chess 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 8.3%