← Hobibear Gaming PTM Store Championship
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Hobibear Gaming PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-1-3
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.5%
avg ELO -2.2 per match
expected value
48.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1193
· median 1193
· range 1193–1193
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1148
Q1 1288
Q3 1401
1472
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 25.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.9% | +4.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.2% | +3.5 |
| Wind Allies | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Wind Chess | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
