← Hobibear Gaming PTM Store Championship
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Hobibear Gaming PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-3-1
overall winrate
12.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
30.8%
avg ELO -12.3 per match
expected value
44.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1401
· median 1401
· range 1401–1401
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1148
Q1 1288
Q3 1401
1472
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 25.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 16.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.1% | -19.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.9 |
| Wind Chess | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.2 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
