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Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2

at ArtofCards PTM Store Championship

decks
2 (7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8 3-5-0
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.4% avg ELO -5.1 per match
expected value
48.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1181 · median 1181 · range 1139–1223 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1068 Q1 1200 Q3 1377 1519
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Luxem Assassin 14.3% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 14.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.0% -6.5
Fire Aetherwing 10.7% 0
Wind Seiryuu 10.7% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 57.8% +7.5
Fire Umbra Guardian 7.1% 0
Chess 3.6% 0
Dawn of Ashes 3.6% 0
Fire Aggro 3.6% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 3.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.3% -9.2
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.6% 0
Fire Suzaku 3.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.0% +14.4
Horse and Taxes 3.6% 0
Water Genbu 3.6% 0
Water Neos 3.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 36.2% -22.1
Water Overlord 3.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 36.2% -22.1
Wind Crux Lorraine 3.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.6% -10.2
Wind Wakeup Combo 3.6% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/43668/archetypes/Fire Firebloom Burn