8號卡牌屋店冠賽

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	3	13.6%	11-4-4	68.4%	56.4%	56.8%	53.1%	1398	↑ top
2		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	2	9.1%	7-3-2	66.7%	64.5%	51.7%	52.5%	1293	↓ low
3		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	2	9.1%	4-4-1	50.0%	55.5%	49.1%	51.2%	1410	↑ top
4		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	2	9.1%	4-5-2	45.5%	48.9%	47.8%	48.5%	1345	—
5		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	2	9.1%	4-5-1	45.0%	56.9%	46.5%	51.8%	1202	↓ low
6		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	2	9.1%	3-7-0	30.0%	50.2%	43.8%	48.8%	1170	↓ low
7		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 1	2	9.1%	7-3-3	65.4%	48.6%	55.1%	49.7%	1547	↑ top
8		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	4.5%	5-1-2	75.0%	60.8%	56.0%	53.6%	1419	↑ top
9		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	4.5%	2-3-0	40.0%	51.9%	47.6%	50.6%	1209	↓ low
10		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 1	1	4.5%	2-3-0	40.0%	46.6%	50.0%	50.3%	1386	—
11		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	1	4.5%	0-4-0	0.0%	18.2%	40.0%	37.6%	1353	—
12		Fire Umbra Alice	Tier 2	1	4.5%	0-4-0	0.0%	18.2%	40.0%	37.6%	1353	—
13		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	4.5%	1-4-0	20.0%	29.7%	40.8%	40.4%	1348	—
14		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	4.5%	2-3-1	41.7%	56.4%	45.6%	50.0%	1322	—
15		Water Crux Assassin	Tier 1	1	4.5%	3-2-0	60.0%	50.1%	51.4%	49.5%	1453	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 3 decks · 13.6%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 9.1%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 9.1%
• Wind Arcane 2 decks · 9.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 9.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 9.1%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 2 decks · 9.1%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 4.5%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 4.5%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 4.5%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 4.5%
• Fire Umbra Alice 1 deck · 4.5%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 4.5%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 4.5%
• Water Crux Assassin 1 deck · 4.5%